Re: [TomAiello] How Much Would You Pay for Insurance?
Sounds awesome, but unless I'm missing something it's an uphill battle unless other sports are brought into the loop.
Quick and dirty math:
$1000 per person premium, let's say you get 3000 BASE jumpers (which seems very optimistic), then your premium pool is up to $3mm.
Out of 3000 jumpers let's say that 1% get hurt each year (seems low to me). That means you're covering 30 injuries around the world in any given year.
As long as the average medical costs are under $100,000 per jumper then you're in-the-money. Now it seems likely that you'd be in the black most years, but there's some huge risk there. It would only take a handful of catastrophic injuries in any given year to break the bank (err...insurance company).
Now if you say there are only 2000 insured and a 3% injury rate is more typical...now you're margins are really starting to get squeezed.
If you could loop in safer sports though...mountain biking, climbing, etc. you could draw on a larger pool of participants and also reduce the average risk of the pool.
But insurance company logic would simply suggest that you drop the minority group with the highest associated risk. This is because the minority group with the highest risk is more likely to take advantage of the insurance than the majority group with less risk exposure (i.e. adverse selection).
You're a pretty smary guy and I suspect there are some puzzle pieces that are missing from this thread though. I'm curious to see what your angle is.
Disclaimer: I'm not very familiar with any medical systems outside of the US. So I suppose if you're in a country that would cover the majority of the medical costs and the insurance would only be required to pick up a small fraction of the cost you might be in business. But if this is the case I think it will be tough to sell $1000 policies to people headed to destinations with free medical care.
*edited for grammar