Re: [TomAiello] Good chance or bulletproof?
Hi Guys
I love throwing in the line: "BASE jumping IS NOT dangerous!! It is the people (humans - mere mortals) that participate that make it dangerous". It stirs emotions and makes people think!!!!!!
Erroll - the way we participate in the sport is what makes it extremely dangerous. Some jumps are more dangerous than others. If the sport itself was "extremely" dangerous, we would have lots more fatalities and serious accidents.
Per Flare - yes, there are unknowns. But most are unknown because we tend to ignore the information that is available or we do not have the experience to recognise that it is there. Throw in the factor that we get more scared as we add more complexity and our minds start struggling to absorb and assimilate all the info that is available. Our minds also tend to distort what information our senses pick up as the pressure increases. How often do you hear someone say, "I did 4 seconds delay off that cliff" - and the video shows 2.5 seconds!!!!!
mdbase - I think differently to you when I make a jump. I stand on the edge and consider all the things that can go wrong. I then devise an action plan for each scenario so that I don't have to think of it whilst the potential incident is happening. This saves time and minimises the chance of confusion in a high pressure situation. I just have to act it out if it happens. I am alive until I make a bad decision or my reaction is too slow or incorrect. Your logis seems to be that you are dead until you make a good decision, and that decision is made up as you go. Your last statement I totally agree with. Essentially the aim is the same in both sets of logic - to maintain life.
Tom - r.e. not jumping - you are thinking of the highest factor in the hierarchy of hazard control. Lets face it - this is not a long term option. But it could be a good short term option. There are many more levels of control that will help minimise the likelihood or prevent an incident. These include personal protective equipment, substituting another jump site, jumping at another time (to allow for weather and experience etc), using different gear, etc. You are absolutely correct about the stage of the sports evolution. But we have improved exponentially over the last 5 years or so and are always improving. The fact is that too many of us are too busy to research the sport - we would rather be out jumping!

Don't forget that I have made assumptions such as "given sufficient data and the ability to analyse it" - this is theory, real life is different.
p.s. I actually believe BASE "can be" very dangerous. But the level of danger (risk) is dependant on a whole lot of factors that each jumper can ignore or take into account and act on. You still have to respect the sport. But each of us is responsible for the outcome for each jump we make. It is up to each of us to arm ourselves with as much knowledge, experience, and skill to keep ourselves safe and have fun.
p.s.s. r.e. the following comment - "I think that each accident / incident IS preventable." What I mean by this is: if we study each incident, we would more than likely find a reason or several reasons why it happened or ways in which we could have prevented it from happening.
p.s.s. if an idea or opinion does not make sense it could be for a number of reasons:
- we chose not to understand it
- our interpretation was different to the intended meaning
- it was poorly communicated
- perhaps it does not make sense
- we wrote it at 3am